About Giove's Picks
Data-driven basketball predictions. No gut feelings, no hot takes.
How it works
Each pick is generated by a machine learning model trained on thousands of historical games. The model analyses rolling team statistics, rest days, home/away performance, head-to-head history, and dynamic ELO ratings.
We only publish picks where the model's estimated probability is higher than what the bookmaker implies โ meaning genuine positive expected value (+EV).
Leagues covered
๐บ๐ธ
NBA
1,300+ per season
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EuroLeague
240+ per season
๐ฎ๐น
Lega A
240+ per season
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ACB
240+ per season
What is Expected Value (EV)?
EV measures the long-term profitability of a bet:
EV = (Model Prob ร (Odds โ 1)) โ (1 โ Model Prob)
A positive EV means that, over many bets, you expect to profit. We only publish picks with EV > 0 and where our model diverges from the market by no more than 30 percentage points.
Disclaimer: All predictions are for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Gambling involves financial risk. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. 18+